Silver, Nate <br/><br/>
The signal and the noise: the art and the science of prediction 
Silver, Nate 
 - United Kingdom  Penguin Books  2012 
 - 534 p. 
<br/><br/> Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the global financial crisis to 9/11 to the Fukushima disaster, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver explores the art of prediction, revealing how we can all develop better foresight in an unpredictable world. 
<br/><br/><label>ISBN: </label>9781846148163 
<br/><br/><label>Subjects--Topical Terms: </label><br/>Mathematics - Statistics<br/>Forecasting<br/>Forecasting - Methodology<br/>Forecasting - History<br/>Bayesian statistical decision theory<br/>Knowledge, Theory of
<br/><br/><label>Dewey Class. No.: </label>519.542  / S4S4