000 | 01725nam a2200205Ia 4500 | ||
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008 | 140323b2005 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d | ||
082 | _a339.3 | ||
100 |
_aIanchovichina, Elena _96150 |
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245 |
_aGrowth trends in the developing world, [electronic resource] : country forecasts and determinants _cIanchovichina, Elena |
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260 |
_aWashington, D.C. _bWorld Bank _c2005 |
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300 | _a62 p. | ||
440 |
_aPolicy Research Working Paper, no. 3775 _990882 |
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500 | _aIncludes bibliographical references | ||
520 | _aThe authors present real per capita GDP growth forecasts for all developing countries for the period 2005-14. For 55 of these countries, representing major world regions and accounting for close to 80 percent of the developing world's GDP, they forecast the growth effects of the main forces underpinning growth, assuming that these evolve following past trends. The authors find that for the average developing country the largest growth dividend comes from continued improvement in public infrastructure, followed by the growth contributions of rising secondary school enrollment, trade openness, and financial deepening. The joint contribution of these four growth determinants to average, annual per capita GDP growth in the next decade is estimated to be 1 percentage point. Failure to keep improving public infrastructure alone could reduce this growth dividend by 50 percent. The forecasted growth contributions differ by country qualitatively and quantitatively. ""--World Bank web site." | ||
650 | _aGross domestic product - Developing countries | ||
650 | _aEconomic indicators - Developing countries | ||
700 |
_aKacker, Pooja _990885 |
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942 | _cBK | ||
999 |
_c296445 _d296445 |